- Survey: the pulse of independent voters - The Fulcrum ›
- Covid made partisanship even worse, independent voters say - The ... ›
- Independent voters deserve a voice in primary elections - The Fulcrum ›
- Share of independent voters is forecast to increase steadily - The ... ›
Griffiths is the editor of Independent Voter News, where a version of this story first appeared.
A new report reinforces something political reform advocates and experts have been saying for years: Partisan identity is becoming the primary determinant in nearly every election.
The "Monopoly Politics" study, a biennial project of the electoral reform advocacy group FairVote, predicts the results of all 435 seats in the House long before Election Day. The 2020 version, released last week, predicted 357 "high confidence seats" with a 99.7 percent accuracy rate. The group bases its predictions on prior voting patterns, not on polling results, a methodology that has worked since FairVote began the project in 1997.
The predictions were made fully two years ahead of time, in November 2018, a startling reminder of how little competition there is in congressional contests and the consequence this has on the nation's politics. The authors say a central takeaway is the increasing role partisanship plays in the outcome of such elections.
- Here's what happens when political bubbles collide - The Fulcrum ›
- No party ID is actually taking a side for independence - The Fulcrum ›
- On the day of the biggest partisan loyalty test, time to start thinking ... ›
- Even The Biggest Scandals Can't Kill Party Loyalty | FiveThirtyEight ›
- The Electoral Costs of Party Loyalty in Congress ›
- Party Identification and Its Implications | Oxford Research ... ›
- Opinion | Loyalty is dumb. Party loyalty is dangerous. - The ... ›
- Study: Americans prize party loyalty over democratic principles ... ›
After an especially contentious election and with the coronavirus pandemic raging, American politics may feel as polarized as ever. A new study makes the case that there's still plenty of hope for bridging the partisan chasm on a dozen top-tier domestic issues.
Making government more transparent and trimming big money's sway over elections are the two good-government reforms on the list.
The 48-page report, released Thursday by three left-leaning advocacy groups focused on environmental policy, aggregates an array of research and polling by others before unveiling "a transpartisan agenda to rebuild trust and tackle America's biggest challenges."
- Pew Research study: The partisan divide is getting worse - The ... ›
- Partisan divide creates different Americas, separate lives - The ... ›
- Huge partisan divide on attitudes toward media, study finds - The ... ›
Organizer: Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget/FixUS
The pandemic and election exposed deep divisions among the public and raised serious questions about whether our political system is up to the task of addressing the major challenges we face. Please join us for an advance screening of "UnRepresented" — a new documentary about how to overcome these partisan frictions — and exclusive access to a panel discussion featuring the filmmakers and subject matter experts.
This award-winning documentary explores the driving forces behind political dysfunction and highlights some of the reforms that are gaining traction to restore a government that better serves the people. It features experts such as Professor Lawrence Lessig of Harvard Law School, and Maya MacGuineas of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget and FixUS.
A link to view "UnRepresented" will be emailed to you on Monday, Dec. 14. You will have 48 hours to view the documentary.