Skip to content
Search

Latest Stories

Top Stories

Beyond analogy: The race for president of the United States

Boxing gloves covered by an "X"

Despite efforts to compare an election to a boxing match, the analogy really doesn't work, writes Anderson.

Photo by Yevgen Romanenko/Getty Images; graphic by The Fulcrum

Anderson edited "Leveraging: A Political, Economic and Societal Framework," has taught at five universities and ran for the Democratic nomination for a Maryland congressional seat in 2016.

The race for U.S. president is beyond analogy. Accepting that fact will make it easier to follow and influence the election.

The race is certainly not like a boxing or a wrestling match, where two opponents fight it out in a ring. Setting aside the physical manifestation (we don’t have the candidates actually throw punches at one another), there are many reasons this is a poor analogy, notably that there is not one ring. The Electoral College system means that there are races in 50 states and the District of Columbia — 51 “rings” that feature campaigning and voting.


The presidential race is not really like horse racing either, an analogy frequently used when discussing campaigns. A House or Senate race or race for governor works better with the horse racing analogy, but again there are 51 races for president, not one. Beyond the Electoral College issue, there are other problems with standard analogies used.

Is the contest between two presidential candidates and their running mates more like a war? Well, wars are not fought on one battlefield — the Civil War and World Wars I and II were of course all fought on many battlefields. In fact, World War II was basically two wars, one in Europe and North Africa and another in the Pacific Theatre.

Sign up for The Fulcrum newsletter

So in that sense, the war analogy works, because presidential campaigns are fought state by state. Moreover, wars are stretched over a period of time, and this feature aligns with campaigns and elections. In addition, there is the need to defeat the enemy.

Yet the war analogy breaks down in a very fundamental way: Wars involve thousands, even millions, of soldiers, military leaders and government leaders. Two people running for president and vice president, even with their armies of advisors and volunteers, are trying to defeat two other people running for president and vice president.

To be sure, the war analogy is better than the boxing or wrestling analogy. But it does not give sufficient emphasis to the two leaders of the effort: the candidates. Franklin D. Roosevelt and Gen. Dwight Eisenhower were not fighting World War II, even though they were our principal leaders in the European/North African parts of the war. They were, however, undoubtedly leading the effort for the United States and the Allies.

The war analogy, though interesting, is strained. It really diminishes the role of thousands — millions — of soldiers and officers who actually fight the battles in the land, sea and air.

When you factor in the role of donors as well as traditional and social media, it remains impossible to find a good analogy.

Accepting this reality might help citizens as well as the candidates and the cognoscenti approach the race more clearly. The chief benefit might be liberating our thinking, and feeling, so that we don't try to conceptualize the race in simplistic terms — as if it were a boxing match or multi-level chess game or even a war.

Why liberate our thinking and feeling? Because the standard metaphors and analogies limit our imagination. They take extremely complex phenomena and impose a narrow conceptual framework on top. Looking at a presidential race as a boxing match, for example, dismisses the reality of what kind of contest this is. A more expansive analogy or none at all would encourage citizens, the media and those campaigning for a candidate to have a more nuanced, integrative approach to the race.

Moreover, it would discourage the pundits from analyzing the race based on a narrow basis of data that reflects an analogy that distorts the complexity of the reality of the campaign itself. The truth is that the race, taken as a whole, is not like anything.

What other country has an Electoral College? The Founding Fathers threw a wrench into our politics that they thought would make the election fair as well as remove it from the average voters, whom they did not wholly trust. Only in America is there a political contest that cannot be compared to anything.

Read More

Donald Trump and Joe Biden in the Oval Office

President-elect Donald Trump and President Joe Biden meet in the Oval Office on Nov. 13.

Jabin Botsford /The Washington Post via Getty Images

Selfish Biden has given us four years of Trump

It’s been a rough go of it for those of us still clinging to antiquated notions that with leadership and power should come things like honesty, integrity, morality, and expertise.

One look at any number of Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks and it’s clear those things no longer matter to a great number of people. (Hell, one look at Trump himself and that’s painfully, comically obvious.)

Keep ReadingShow less
Donald Trump
Brandon Bell/Getty Images

How to approach Donald Trump's second presidency

The resistance to Donald Trump has failed. He has now shaped American politics for nearly a decade, with four more years — at least — to go. A hard truth his opponents must accept: Trump is the most dominant American politician since Franklin Delano Roosevelt.

This dominance unsettles and destabilizes American democracy. Trump is a would-be authoritarian with a single overriding impulse — to help himself above all else.

Yet somehow he keeps winning.

Keep ReadingShow less
Donald Trump and his family on stage

President-elect Donald Trump claimed a mandate on Nov. 6.

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Elections don’t tell leaders what voters want. 2024 was no exception.

Interpreting the meaning of any election is no easy task. In a democracy, the results never speak for themselves. That is as true of the 2024 presidential election as it has been for any other.

This year, as is the case every four years, the battle to say what the results mean and what lessons the winning candidate should learn began as soon as the voters were counted. But, alas, elections don’t speak for themselves.

Keep ReadingShow less
Young people cheering

Supporters cheer during a campaign event with Vice President Kamala Harris at Temple University in Philadelphia on Aug. 6.

Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images

The youth have spoken in favor of Harris, but it was close

For many young voters, the 2024 presidential election was the moment they had been waiting for. Months of protests and demonstrations and two political conventions had all led to this — the opportunity to exercise their democratic rights and have a say in their future.

While Donald Trump won the election, Kamala Harris won among young voters. But even though 18- to 29-year-olds provided the strongest support for Harris, President Joe Biden did better with that cohort four years ago.

Keep ReadingShow less