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Trump Must Take Proactive Approach to AI and Jobs
Jan 19, 2025
Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly disrupting America’s job market. Within the next decade, positions such as administrative assistants, cashiers, postal clerks, and data entry workers could be fully automated. Although the World Economic Forum expects a net increase of 78 million jobs, significant policy efforts will be required to support millions of displaced workers. The Trump administration should craft a comprehensive plan to tackle AI-driven job losses and ensure a fair transition for all.
As AI is expected to reshape nearly 40% of workers’ skills over the next five years, investing in workforce development is crucial. To be proactive, the administration should establish partnerships to provide subsidized retraining programs in high-demand fields like cybersecurity, healthcare, and renewable energy. Providing tax incentives for companies that implement in-house reskilling initiatives could further accelerate this transition.
To ensure inclusivity, community technology centers and libraries equipped with online courses could be deployed in rural and underserved areas, helping workers across the country adapt to the evolving economy.
AI disproportionately affects regions reliant on clerical and manufacturing jobs, exacerbating local economic hardships. Establishing “economic diversification zones” in these communities—offering tax breaks, grants, and infrastructure investments—would attract growth-oriented industries such as advanced manufacturing, green energy, and technology startups, fostering broader economic resilience.
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Rural areas, however, face a bigger challenge: they are among the least served by technology infrastructure, including high-speed internet. This digital divide limits access to the tools and resources necessary to participate in emerging AI-driven industries, putting these communities at risk of being left further behind. Many of these areas form the backbone of the Trump administration’s voter base, making their inclusion in the AI economy both an economic imperative and a political necessity. Without targeted investments to bridge this gap, rural regions may miss out on the opportunities AI could bring, compounding existing economic disparities.
Displaced workers often face unemployment and financial instability. Expanding benefits to include income-based retraining and extending coverage duration would offer essential relief. Decoupling healthcare from employment could also reduce stress and uncertainty. Meanwhile, portable benefits—allowing retirement and healthcare coverage to follow workers across jobs—would mitigate career-transition risks and bolster economic resilience.
Employers in emerging industries often struggle to fill vacancies despite high unemployment in declining sectors. The Trump administration must facilitate partnerships between educational institutions, labor unions, and employers to align training programs with industry needs. Apprenticeships and internships in fields like AI and machine learning could provide workers with on-the-job experience.
Micro-credentialing programs—short, specialized training modules—would allow displaced workers to transition into new roles without requiring full degrees, ensuring a faster and more efficient shift to growing industries.
Barriers such as inadequate childcare, eldercare, and inflexible work arrangements disproportionately affect women and low-income families. Subsidizing childcare and eldercare could enable more individuals to pursue retraining and employment. Encouraging remote work and flexible scheduling would expand opportunities for workers in rural areas and those with caregiving responsibilities.
The integration of AI and automation into the workforce represents both a challenge and an opportunity. By investing in retraining programs, economic diversification, and robust social safety nets, the Trump administration could empower workers to navigate this transformative period.
However, given the administration's policy direction, which deprioritizes investments in social safety nets, workforce retraining, and regional economic development, it is unlikely that these comprehensive changes will be pursued. Without a significant shift in priorities, many of the most vulnerable workers will face the full brunt of automation-driven job losses without sufficient support. This stark reality underscores the urgent need for a forward-looking strategy to address these issues head-on. Ironically, this burden will fall most heavily on the administration's strongest source of support—rural communities and blue-collar workers—further deepening the challenges they face.
Robert Cropf is a professor of political science at Saint Louis University.
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As Trump policy changes loom, nearly half of farmworkers lack legal status
Jan 19, 2025
The nation’s agriculture sector, which relies heavily on undocumented workers, could face a significant challenge when President-elect Donald Trump takes office this month amid promises to enact stricter immigration policies.
The percentage of undocumented farmworkers — those without legal status — dropped from 54% in 2020 to 42% in 2022, according to the USDA and the U.S. Department of Labor.
Trump said his mass deportation of undocumented immigrants would start with the “criminals,” but that “you have no choice” but to eventually deport everyone in the country illegally, according to a December interview with NBC’s “Meet the Press.”
Mary Jo Dudley, director of the Cornell Farmworker Program, emphasized the potential consequences of such policies, telling Investigate Midwest, “If we lost half of the farmworker population in a short period of time, the agriculture sector would likely collapse.”
“There are no available skilled workers to replace the current workforce should this policy be put into place,” she said.
As Trump policy changes loom, nearly half of farmworkers lack legal statuswas first published on Investigate Midwest, and was republised with permission.
Mónica Cordero is a Report for America corps member and part of the Mississippi River Basin Ag & Water Desk team. Her expertise includes data analysis with Python and SQL, and reporting under the Freedom of Information Act.
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We play a role in our political opponents growing more extreme
Jan 18, 2025
As the election dust settles, one thing remains unchanged: America is deeply divided.
Just as before the election, many are hyper-focused on the extreme ideas and actions of their opponents. Democrats are shocked that so many could overlook Trump’s extreme behavior, as they see it: his high-conflict approach to leadership, his disrespect for democratic processes. Whereas Trump’s supporters see his win as evidence supporting the view that the left has grown increasingly extreme and out-of-touch.
But few see that our toxic divides are part of a self-reinforcing cycle—that the hostile, contemptuous behaviors of both political groups contribute to the very extremity on the “other side” that bothers them.
In major conflicts, it’s easy for people on both “sides” to believe it’s the “other side” that is the more extreme and unreasonable aggressor. How someone decides which group is worse will depend on how they filter the immense amount of information around us and how they prioritize its importance.
Let’s look first at demeaning, threatening behaviors on the left.
Before Trump was elected, liberals often painted him and his supporters in the worst possible light. Many influential people promoted the narrative that Trump support was primarily about bigotry, despite that view of things being simplistic and biased. Many minor and ambiguous statements by Trump have been interpreted in highly pessimistic and certain ways. There were many biased and irresponsible stories about the Trump/Russia story.
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These approaches bolstered the narrative that Republicans were under attack by an establishment that treated them in biased and unfair ways. Such approaches helped give Republicans reasons for supporting aggressive and contemptuous responses (like the kinds that Trump engages in).
To be clear, this is not to blame political toxicity on Democrats, nor to let Republicans off the hook.
For one thing, Trump’s divisive personality can be seen as playing a role in making the left more angry and extreme.
On the right, an oft-heard view is that the left has become significantly more extreme, while Republican-side stances have remained largely the same. (A popular meme by Colin Wright and shared by Elon Musk promoted this view.)
It’s true that some liberal-side stances have shifted rapidly. In the last few years, liberals became much more pro-immigration; their support of gender identity-related ideas increased quickly; anti-police views multiplied in 2020.
But what the focus on alleged liberal extremity misses is that groups in conflict are never symmetrical. What Trump and a Trump-dominated GOP contribute to our divides can’t be defined by political stances alone. Trump’s divisive nature—his promoting distrust of the legitimacy of elections, his frequent talk of “enemies” and retribution—those traits are perceived by many as dangerously extreme, but have little to do with issue stances or policy.
Trump is someone who has long been known for an aggressive, contemptuous style of leadership. (To learn more about that, I recommend Trumped!, a book about his Atlantic City days.) Trump has said several varieties of the idea that when someone hits him, he’ll hit back ten times as hard: that’s the very definition of someone who amplifies conflict.
And one can see this aspect of Trump even while being a Trump supporter. A gung-ho pro-Trump acquaintance told me he saw Trump’s personality as being like “gasoline on the fire” of our divides.
It’s easy to see how Trump’s aggressive rhetoric could shift some liberal stances. For example, his way of talking about immigration can help explain Democrats becoming more pro-immigration. Seeing him as cruel and aggressive on that issue would result in Democrats feeling more protective of immigrants.
It’s possible to debate Trump’s level of bigotry, but there’ve been many things he’s done that can understandably be perceived as bigoted. To name one example: the time he told four Democratic congresspeople to “go back and help fix” the countries they came from—even though only one of the four was born in a foreign country. He has associated with extreme people like Nick Fuentes, and has said that immigrants are “poisoning the blood” of America.
Trump’s personality and decisions, whether due to significant bigotry or not, have made it easier for people to believe the “racism explains his popularity” narrative. That view in turn increased demand among anti-Trump Americans for ideas that purported to find evidence of all the racism around us—racial equity and other antiracism-associated ideas—even as many of those ideas can easily be criticized as simplistic and divisive.
Trump’s aggressive personality has created a lot of dislike (even among those with similar views). And when we dislike people, we find ourselves wanting to be unlike them. Another possible example of this dynamic playing out: After Trump’s 2016 win, the Democratic Socialists of America reported a big upswing in membership.
As journalist Damon Linker has argued, Trump’s election resulted in Democrats “staking out positions understood to be the diametric opposite of Trump’s stated stance.” (An important word there is “understood,” as it’s common for us to have distorted, overly pessimistic perceptions of our opponents.)
Pro-Trump Republicans should be willing to consider that Trump’s contemptuous manner has been a factor in making liberal-side beliefs more extreme. And Democrats should be willing to examine how liberal-side contempt has led to making Republicans more extreme.
Of course this isn’t the only factor that explains changes in stances or in partisan hostility over the last several decades. There are many more factors (social media, for one)—but it’s a piece of the puzzle more of us should consider. When we see how intertwined and connected our political groups are, it helps us see that contemptuous approaches don’t just amplify conflict; they’re self-defeating.
If we want to avoid worst-case scenarios in America and build a brighter future, we’ll need more people to think about the role they play in amplifying toxicity. We’ll need more people to see that it’s in their own best interest—and the country’s—to work towards their political goals while avoiding demeaning those on the “other side.” We’ll need more people to push back on divisive approaches among their political peers and allies.
This isn’t easy. Many forces, both internal and external, push us toward more conflict and provocations. But leaders bold enough to inspire us to transcend toxicity may one day be celebrated as true American heroes in the history books.
Zachary Elwood is the author of “Defusing American Anger” and the host of the psychology podcast People Who Read People.
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From Fixers to Builders
Jan 18, 2025
This piece was originally published in the Stanford Innovation Review on January 9, 2025.
How do we get people of all political identities to willingly support social progress without compromising anyone’s values? In September 2024, two months before the American public voted Republicans into control of every branch of the US national government, that question was definitively answered at a private, non-political gathering of philanthropic foundation executives and their communications officers.
The Next Narrative Summit was sponsored and facilitated by BMe Community and leading foundations including Robert Wood Johnson, Bill & Melinda Gates, Annie E. Casey, New Pluralists, Nellie Mae, The Kresge Foundation, New Commonwealth Fund, Grantmakers for Effective Organizations, Joyce Foundation, Prudential, Best Buy, Omidyar Network, Comcast NBC Universal, and The Communications Network.
Communication in a New Era of Social Change
This essay series, presented in partnership with The Communications Network, will share stories, strategies, and lessons from forward-thinking foundations and nonprofits that have begun evolving the way they think and do communications.
These organizations’ 161 foundation and communications leaders learned how their peers have recently united liberals and conservatives to achieve historic victories on the same issues that traditional appeals are now losing. These new appeals had several commonalities: They define people by aspirations before noting challenges; they replace jargon and fear-triggering with common language and inspiration; and they hold presumed opponents and America accountable without vilifying either. The following examples illustrate the power of next narrative appeals to win civil rights, invest billions for equity, revive educational institutions, and win public support across the political map today.
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In 2023—the same year that the US Supreme Court ruling on Students for Fair Admissions caused philanthropists to reconsider their stance on equity goals or avoid using the term “equity” altogether—Minneapolis-Saint Paul, Minnesota (a “blue state”) became the first US city to raise $1 billion in a single year to support racial equity and carbon neutrality. The effort, led by Tonya Allen of the McKnight Foundation, used a next narrative strategy to rally the GroundBreak Coalition—a group of more than 40 corporate, civic, and philanthropic allies—to not only make fundraising history, but also regard their billion dollars as the downpayment on a $5.3 billion goal.
In May 2022, Michigan (a “swing state”) became the first US state to reopen a historically Black college. The next narrative campaign behind the effort, led by former Nike footwear design executive D’Wayne Edwards, won political support and corporate backing to fund and reopen Pensole Lewis College (PLC). In fact, Edwards has relaunched PLC as the only historically Black college specializing in the design industry.
Some of the most impressive gains may be in “red states.” In 2018, Desmond Meade of the Florida Restoration Rights Coalition led a historic campaign using next narrative appeals that overturned 150-year-old laws—an achievement that Democratic leader and activist Stacy Abrams called “the largest expansion of civil and voting rights in a half-century.” Meade’s appeal restored rights to 1.4 million neighbors in Florida who had served their time for past crimes and thereby earned their right to full citizenship. While Governor Ron Desantis quickly erected administrative barriers to the public will, the campaign overcame that too. Over 5 million Republicans, Democrats, and Independents voted together for historic progress.
Sheena Meade, Desmond Meade’s wife, is meanwhile expanding civil rights across the United States using a similar next narrative stance. Her Clean Slate Initiative received $75 million from The Audacious Project to help states automate the process of expunging criminal records once someone has completed their sentence. Her TED Talk on “How Second Chance Laws Can Transform the Justice System” has been viewed more than 1.1 million times.
Finding a New Narrative Norm
The Next Narrative Summit was three years in the making. In 2021, the communications firm Hattaway Communications researched whether social impact appeals that don’t rely on narratives of crisis, fear, and denigration can effectively engage people. The results were game-changing: The firm found a very large market—one that spans all races, genders, ages, regions, and political identities—for next narrative appeals.
According to Hattaway’s research, 39 million Americans vote, volunteer, donate, and want to achieve goals like racial equality, social justice, and fairness. But they’re fundamentally turned off by progressive stances expressed in jargon that suggest all systems are broken, individuals are powerless, and populations should be defined by their challenges. BMe Community dubbed this next narrative demographic “builders”; 51 percent of this group are Democrats, 22 percent are Independents, and 20 percent are Republicans.
Builders are the kind of people who help their neighbors without asking their political affiliation first. They aren’t prone to protesting but typically help people in their communities before protests erupt, during protests, and after news agencies and protestors leave their community. The research found that 63 percent of builders are 45 or older, 59 percent are not college graduates, and 57 percent earn $60,000 or less a year. They’re proportionately distributed in the north and south (53 percent to 47 percent, respectively), and by race (58 percent white, 19 percent Black, 12 percent Latino, 6 percent Asian, 2 percent Native American, 1 percent other). Builders are self-actualized but often invisible to progressive activists or mislabeled as “disengaged” by progressive researchers because they don’t respond to progressive appeals.
Yet builders outnumber progressive activists by 3 million (39 to 36 million people). For perspective, the size of this rarely addressed market is 14 times the margin of victory in the 2024 presidential race. The 20 percent of builders (7.8 million people) who are Republicans are three times the margin of victory alone. Simply learning to speak builder language presents social change organizations with enormous opportunity to engage people of all political identities to support progressive goals without compromising anyone’s values. Let’s unpack the common denominators of next narrative appeals to builders.
1. People want to be defined by their aspirations, not their problems.
The entire social impact sector, including medicine, is hooked on “the problem statement” and consequently labels entire populations and patients according to problems. For instance, the field often defines communities solely as “low-income.” This kind of framing has the unintended but lasting consequences of stigmatizing populations, because they become known only for how they’re behind, below, less than, and lower than whatever is socially normal. Narratives that hide their aspirations and contributions also make it seem like social impact leaders are here to save them and like society must pay a price to lift up people that traditional framing puts down. This self-aggrandizing posture feels righteous, because in that narrative, the advocate for the downtrodden is effectively the hero of the story.
The Time Magazine article written by Stacey Abrams illustrates how ridiculous this negative labeling can become. It introduces civil rights attorney, Nobel Prize nominee, and American history maker Desmond Meade as, “Homeless and suicidal, with a felony record…” I pointed out to Meade that there were times in Martin Luther King, Jr.’s life when he was all three of those things, but who would introduce him that way? Similarly, the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPCL) introduces Meade as: “The former drug user who had been convicted of a felony was building himself a new life. He had climbed out of homelessness, incarceration and addiction.”
To be clear, Abrams and Margaret Huang, who runs SPLC, are Meade’s allies. They, like many progressives who label communities by their worst experiences, mean no harm. But Huang’s bio introduces her this way: “An experienced human rights and racial justice advocate, Huang leads the SPLC in its mission to serve as a catalyst for racial justice in the South…” So, it’s worth noting that Meade is literally all those things too, but progressives and news media often treat the worst experiences of stigmatized populations as credentials and disregard the credentials they’ve earned.
Rather than starting with a problem statement and how to “fix a broken world,” next narratives assume that the sector exists to “build a better world.” They start with aspirational statements—not an organization’s aspirations but the aspirations of the people it seeks to serve. From there, next narratives introduce the challenges that thwart those groups’ worthy ends and invite others to do their small but significant part to make a better world.
Allen, Edwards, and Desmond and Sheena Meade define the people who are experiencing unfairness or injustice as the protagonists in their own lives, introducing their aspirations and contributions before noting their challenges. This is called “Asset-Framing.” I coined Asset-Framing and have taught it since 2013. Its primary benefit is preventing stigma and thereby preventing the belittling, blaming, and shaming that arise from stigma. With stigma removed, systemic unfairness becomes much easier to see. When we define groups by how they earn, yearn, seek, strive, work, and build yet see they still experience deep hardship, it becomes much easier to accept that some outside influence is obstructing their success. So, the story of the “under-resourced communities” to Allen is more clearly about giving wealth builders of color fair lending. The story of “disadvantaged youth” to Edwards is more accurately about students and aspiring designers seeking a fair opportunity to learn. The story of “ex-convicts” and “formerly incarcerated” people to Sheena and Desmond Meade are more accurately about people seeking a second chance after having paid their debt to society. These more common-sense articulations of aspiring people facing systemic challenges to their worthy goals resonate with builders.
2. You can love your country and still want to build better systems.
Progressives regularly describe America as racist, sexist, classist, toxic, and capitalist. These may be true, but just as calling impoverished people poor or incarcerated people criminal may be technically true, they’re not the whole truth.
Next narrative strategies extend Asset-Framing to systems—again, defining systems and even the United States in this case by its aspirations and contributions before noting their challenges. America’s highest promise to the world is that it can be a land of liberty and justice for all, wherein people are entitled to life, liberty, and the pursuit of prosperity. That is the aspiration. The fair criticism that it hasn’t lived up to those aspirations is what inspires so many to want to “fix broken systems.” Nonetheless, builders need to hear organizations say that they’re working to fulfill the aspirations first, not just solve the problem or paint the picture that all the systems are broken and anyone who benefits from them should be stigmatized as well. Essentially, if you can define people by their aspirations and contributions en route to solving problems, then you can define America that way too. It doesn’t need to be flag-waving or jingoism, but millions of people who know that things are broken also love their country. Messaging that doesn’t vilify them for doing so works better than messaging that does.
When appropriate, you can even use Asset-Framing for the perceived opposition to your campaign. In every example listed here, Meades, Allen, and Edwards defined institutions by their positive purposes regardless of political affiliation. State governments aspire to protect democracy and prosper their citizens. Banks aspire to build wealth. And school systems aspire to build knowledge and capable graduates.
3. Jargon only communicates to your in-group.
This one is communications 101, but as we try to evolve people’s thinking and awareness, we inevitably come up with jargon like “intersectionality,” “toxic masculinity,” and “critical race theory.” We know that at least 39 million Americans essentially agree with progressive goals but are not ready for jargon 401-level narratives. This doesn’t make them evil, cancelable, nor dumb any more than it will make you those things if you must look up the meaning of “oleo” simply because you don’t know what it is.
Jargon is not an expression of intelligence nor necessarily even evolved thinking; it’s literally just shorthand language for the in-group that knows it. So, next narrative strategies speak to people in plain language about passions rather than politics. To be clear, when speaking with groups that are into jargon like Asset-Framing, then obviously you can use it. But even then, they’ll remember it better if you can break it down to a more commonsensical expression like, “State their best before the rest.”
4. Fear is not a progress emotion.
In politics, both the left and the right over-rely on fear to engage people in causes. So, both succeed at engendering a great sense of dread and over time diminishing hope. In the current narratives from both sides and the news media, we seem to continuously live in a broken world. It’s exhausting. It’s literally toxic according to the American Psychological Association, which advises people to moderate their news consumption so that they don’t increase stress-related emotional and physical illness.
Next narrative strategies do not anchor attention to brokenness, threats, and fear because fear is a reactive emotion. It triggers our survival response, which is counter to empathy, true hope, and a growth mindset. Next narrative strategies lead with positive aspirations then focus on how we can build better futures together, not just fix a broken world. Since builders are disaffected by broken-world scenarios, talking about what they can help build engages them much better than talking only about what we can fix. As I pointed out earlier, change agents can define America by its challenges, or they can define it as a nation that has promised liberty and justice for all before listing all the same challenges.
Continuing to Build
To put the need for next narratives in context, it’s helpful to understand the history of the old ones. Boomers—people born during the post-World War II baby boom and the largest generational group in the history of the United States—have been adults for over 50 years and shaped all kinds of cultural norms. While they presided over the largest expansion of material wealth in history, they also made fear, blame, shame, and crises our default tools of mobilization. Boomers declared War on Poverty, War on Crime, War on Drugs, and War on Terror, and invented the “burning platform” metaphor, which argues that major change requires a sense of imminent danger.
Today, after half a century of exposure to this cultural phenomenon, we don’t question it much. It continues to influence messaging of all kinds, including political campaigns. Yet, as institutional power shifts to the next generation, we have a chance to establish a different narrative norm for social innovation. The social sector has the opportunity to leave old narratives behind and to begin its thoughts and proposals with aspirational rather than problem statements. From there, it can talk about the striving people in whom it seeks to invest and the better systems we can work to build. Detailing the systemic dysfunctions and unfairness in this light will make it far easier for people of all identities to see them. From a shared knowledge of each other’s genuine aspirations and contributions, society can stop believing that giving certain groups the rights and privileges they’ve earned is somehow an act of charity.
Shifting to more aspirational, dignifying, values-driven, problem-naming, and accessible ways of communicating offers social sector organizations the chance to make our communications more effective. Campaigns that have used next narrative approaches have already raised billions for progressive causes; engaged millions of people from across the political spectrum in institutional, legal, and historic progress; increased hope; and decreased stigma. Nothing theoretical about it. All is doable today if we’re willing to speak the language of allies we’ve ignored and move on from the narrative identity of being fixers of a broken world to the next narrative of being builders of a better one.
Trabian Shorters is the founder of TrabianShorters.com and cofounder of BMe Community, which a 2024 national landscape analysis by The Bridgespan Group found to be the number-one leadership network for intrinsic and multidimensional impacts on leaders, communities, and systems. Shorters, a retired tech entrepreneur, is the foremost authority on Asset-Framing, and other applicable cognitive, social, and cultural psychology skills.Keep ReadingShow less
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