Skip to content
Search

Latest Stories

Follow Us:
Top Stories

Independents will decide the election. What do we know about them?

Republican, Democratic and independent checkboxes, with the third one checked
zimmytws/Getty Images

Fisher is senior director of policy and partnerships for Unite America. Macomber is research manager for Unite America .

Whichever party wins independent voters will win the presidency and other key races this fall. A poll we at Unite America commissioned earlier this year provides clues for how Democrats and Republicans can appeal to these swing voters — including embracing their right to participate in all primary elections. Nearly 90 percent of independent voters from closed primary states support opening primaries, and nearly 60 percent said they would be more likely to vote for a party that pledged to support their right to vote in primaries.

A new bipartisan bill in Congress gives the parties a golden opportunity to do just that. The Let America Vote Act would immediately end closed primaries for congressional and presidential elections, while also providing financial incentives to states that enfranchise independents in state and local primaries. Currently, 15 states have closed congressional primaries, and 22 states have closed presidential primaries.


If passed, the Let America Vote Act would grant 23.5 million independent voters the same voting rights as registered Republicans and Democrats. According to Gallup’s most recent polling, a record high 51 percent of American adults identify as independents — more than the two major parties combined.

Simply providing lip service to a new bill is not enough, however. The two major parties must also understand why a rapidly growing share of voters choose to be independent in the first place. According to our first-of-its-kind report and poll of independents from closed primary states, there are four key reasons they do not affiliate with either party.

  1. Independent voters are “independent thinkers.” Seventy percent said they “prefer to assess each candidate individually, rather than by their party affiliation,” while 68 percent said they “think for myself, independent of what parties and candidates tell me to think.”

    In response to an open-ended question, a 68-year-old man from Nevada echoed this sentiment: “I'm an independent thinker and willing to vote for anyone who reflects my beliefs.”

  2. Independents’ policy preferences do not align with the Democratic or Republican platforms. When asked which party they trust more to handle the pressing issues facing the country, independents were split. At least 60 percent placed more trust in the Republicans to handle immigration, the economy, and public safety, while the same share favored the Democrats on health care, abortion and climate issues.

    To illustrate how independents’ beliefs are split between the parties, consider this comment from a 79-year-old woman from Idaho: “Two main issues motivate me — 1. gun rights. 2. reproductive freedom. Neither party promotes both.”

  3. Independents believe the political system is broken. Nearly 70 percent of respondents said they believe the “political parties are too influenced by corporate interests or lobbyists,” while 65 percent said they believe “the political system is corrupt and needs significant reform.” A startling 91 percent agreedthat “Both major parties care more about serving their special interests than people like me.”

    A 39-year-old man from Utah underscored this feeling: “Politics are poison. My trust for the political system has soured with[in] the last 8 years. The voice of the people is very rarely heard and politicians are in the pockets of other businesses or affiliations.”
  1. Independents are disillusioned with the two major parties. Only 22 percent of respondents have a favorable view of the Republican Party, and 21 percent have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Party. Seventy percent also said that they believe “both parties are too ideologically extreme.”

    These beliefs were clearly expressed by a 67-year-old woman from Idaho: “I consider both parties off track. We need to get back to the middle ground. I am sick and tired of being whiplashed around by the extremists of both parties.”

In sum, independents are persuadable voters with nuanced policy positions who are frustrated by both the political system and the two parties that lead it. Passing the Let America Vote Act and opening all states’ primaries to independents would incentivize members of Congress to represent the views of independent voters while in office, and not allow them to just be an afterthought during election season. Without reform, though, the major parties will likely continue to struggle to appeal to independents, and voters will continue to abandon the parties.


Read More

California Voters Don’t Like Either Party. Good Thing the Primary Doesn’t Belong to The Parties.

California voters increasingly distrust both major parties. Here's why the state's Top Two primary gives independent voters more power to shape elections.

Image: Duncan Shelby on Alamy.

California Voters Don’t Like Either Party. Good Thing the Primary Doesn’t Belong to The Parties.

SAN DIEGO, Calif. - California voters have already received ballots for the June 2 primary, and the message they have going into these elections may not be what the political class wants to hear: They are not thrilled with either major party.

A recent analysis from the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) found that majorities of likely voters have unfavorable views of both parties—61% unfavorable toward the Democratic Party and 70% unfavorable toward the Republican Party.

Keep ReadingShow less
How the Voting Rights Act Reshaped Texas’ Electoral Maps

President Lyndon B. Johnson, Martin Luther King Jr., Clarence Mitchell Jr., Patricia Roberts Harris, and other guests at the signing of the Voting Rights Act on August 6, 1965.

Yoichi Okamoto - Lyndon Baines Johnson Library and Museum

How the Voting Rights Act Reshaped Texas’ Electoral Maps

In 2002, U.S. Rep. Henry Bonilla, a Republican, nearly lost his South Texas seat to Democrat Henry Cuellar. So when the GOP used its newfound majority in the state Legislature to redraw the voting maps the next year, they sawed through Cuellar’s hometown of Laredo and scattered Latino voters, who tended to vote Democratic, into other districts.

Latino advocacy groups sued under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, the cornerstone provision of the law that prevents government bodies from diluting the voting power of specific groups. The Supreme Court found Texas lawmakers had taken away Latino voting power “because they were about to exercise it.”

Keep ReadingShow less
A group of people wait in line to get their ballots to vote in the election.

The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact could reshape presidential elections as Midwest states debate Electoral College reform, political polarization, and the future of winner-take-all voting in America.

Getty Images, SDI Productions

700+ Proposed Amendments Failed, Midwest Voters Can Succeed

The Midwest served as the vanguard and ideological heartland of the Progressive Era, acting as a crucial laboratory for political, social, and economic reforms that later adopted national significance. Midwestern states (the cradle of the movement) pioneered anti-monopoly efforts, democratic, and social improvements.

After 770+ failed proposed U.S. Constitutional Amendments (the most on record for one issue) to remedy the factionalism (21st century polarization) feared by the Framers of the U.S. Constitution.

Keep ReadingShow less
“We Can’t Afford It” Is Never an Acceptable Excuse To Deny Independents a Vote

DC voting rights advocate Lisa D.T. Rice criticized the DC City Council for failing to fund Initiative 83’s semi-open primary system, leaving 85,000 independent voters unable to participate in taxpayer-funded primaries despite overwhelming voter approval in 2024.

Photo by Getty Images on Unsplash.

“We Can’t Afford It” Is Never an Acceptable Excuse To Deny Independents a Vote

WASHINGTON, D.C. - Lisa D.T. Rice spoke before the DC City Council during a Budget Oversight Hearing on May 1 to talk about Initiative 83, the semi-open primary and ranked choice voting measure she proposed that was approved by 73% of voters in 2024.

- YouTube youtu.be

Keep ReadingShow less