Christen is a lawyer, a senior officer in the Navy Reserve JAG Corps, a seminarian, and a member of an independent Critical Connections team catalyzing inter-movement community and capacity building among democracy and civic health-promoting organizations to achieve collective impact. All stated opinions are his own and do not represent the positions of the U.S. Navy.
This is the second in a series of articles analyzing how the field of democracy-promoting organizations and movements can prepare to support and facilitate a mass movement.
“ Democracy never lasts long. It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself.”
John Adams appears more prescient than ever as American democracy’s most dangerous adversary is currently itself. Democracy doomsday statistics seem overwhelmingly ubiquitous today. Trust in government is at all time lows. Campaign funding is dominated by super PACs, other dark money groups and a dozen megadonors. More than 80 percent of congressional districts are virtually guaranteed for one party. The list goes on. At this point, it is hard to feel optimistic about American democracy’s long-term viability.
Sure, there have been some successful democratic reforms with presumably more to follow, but the question is: Can incremental democratic reforms and civic health improvements outpace American democracy’s rate of degradation? With the current trajectory pointing towards “no,” American democracy’s best chance for survival is high-impact collective action.
I recently participated in a scenario-based strategy session, which found that the most catastrophic (and most likely) future for American democracy was an extension of today’s trajectory. Citizen apathy remained high. Positive civic engagement remained limited. Civic education continued worsening. Partisanship kept increasing. Citizens’ power decreased as current power brokers continued consolidating power. It was eerily similar to “ Idiocracy.”
There were pro-democracy wins too, but they did not radically transform the system enough to restore power to the people. In lieu of organizing to collectively pursue systemic transformation, organizations largely focused on specific issue areas, locations and levels. Funding was primarily based on short-term, isolated organizational goals. As a result, most efforts continued to lack big picture coherence, coordination and unity of purpose. Analogous to civil rights laws of the 1960s, power brokers were thereby able to placate calls for reform with somewhat superficial policy changes that enabled them to maintain their grip on power. Without a more systemic approach, reforms treated the symptoms without eradicating democracy's underlying cancer that first enabled the systemic siphoning of the people’s power.
The second hypothetical scenario, which we surprisingly found to be more favorable to achieving systemic transformation, featured a future president who disbanded Congress and Supreme Court. While seemingly a worst-case scenario, the obviousness of democracy’s imminent demise presented a higher likelihood of overcoming American apathy and, as a result, of a mass pro-democracy movement forming. Since 3.5 percent of a population – approximately 12 million Americans – is required to achieve systemic change, a pivotal moment in society like this that awakens the sleeping giant of citizens is more likely to achieve systemic transformation than a long-term patchwork of individual reforms.
Organizing for collective impact:
This is not to advocate for disbanding issue-specific reform efforts. Instead, this underscores that restoring power to a civically literate and empowered citizenry requires updating the entire system. No single issue holds democracy’s silver bullet, which means that reforms in one issue area are, to some extent, only as successful as efforts in other areas. Analogizing the ecosystem of democracy and civic-health-promoting movements to a single body, each part is important yet they all are also interdependent with each other, required to work in harmony to support each other in fulfilling the greater body’s goals.
If this democracy “doomsday” scenario happened tomorrow and American citizens flooded the streets, the question then is whether the disparate parts could ad hoc organize themselves to effectively facilitate the mass movement’s actions? How quickly could any degree of consensus on the movement’s purpose and goals be reached? How quickly could relationships, lines of communication, and cross-organizational teams be created to enable coordinating efforts, sharing resources, and dynamically responding to rapidly changing contexts?
While it is theoretically possible the ecosystem could come together in the moment to guide the mass movement, even ad hoc organizing takes a lot of time and effort. Similar to learning to ride a bike, collective action requires practiced coordination to become effective. As a result, relying on ad hoc organizing presents significant risk of losing movement momentum before the ecosystem is effectively organized and ready.
As Rob Stein argued, the way to mitigate this risk is to already have organized and prepared for collective impact. Instead of wasting time figuring out how to organize, already developed capabilities and resources could be rapidly deployed. Muscle memory for collaborative partnering would enable immediate effectiveness.
This is an argument for a both/and approach based on an enlightened self-interest: Continue pursuing issue-specific missions while also investing in the higher potential return on investment, longer-term preparing for collective impact. Although this sounds impossible with time and funding seemingly maxed out, allocating energy and resources from an “abundance” or “ growth ” mindset – one that does not assume resources are finite, thereby avoiding zero-sum thinking – enables those resources to become generative as they grow the size of the pie.
A useful analogy is how Google tackles the innovation paradox with a “ 20 percent rule ” that encourages staff to spend one-fifth of their time on innovating and experimenting with projects that they believe will benefit the greater organization. Innovations from that 20 percent have transformed the other 80 percent of Google’s work and led to more long-term organizational success than otherwise would have happened. While an 80/20 split between pursuing primary missions and investing in collective impact preparations may be a good starting point, more ideal is pursuing a “dynamic equilibrium” between these competing yet interdependent goals that enables flexible adjustments as contexts change.
The shared effort, expertise and resources of this approach will naturally enhance effectiveness and efficiency at primary missions. Organizational adaptive capacity will also increase. All while improving inter-movement capacity for collective action. The bottom line is that organizations will be better off while investing in a more holistic effort to transform American democracy.
Transforming democracy is an adaptive challenge requiring flexibility, adaptability and intentionality in organizing to enable organizations and millions of Americans to work in unison. Upfront discomfort in expanding focus and resource allocation to organizing for collective impact is an investment in individual organizations, the inter-movement community of democracy and civic-health-promoting movements, and, most importantly, transforming the entire system. We cannot control when an apathy-eradicating moment in society will occur, but we can be prepared to cohesively and effectively guide a mass pro-democracy movement when the moment arrives – after all, it’s what democracy craves.
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U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio delivers a keynote speech at the 62nd Munich Security Conference on Saturday, Feb. 14, 2026, in Munich, Germany.
Marco Rubio is the only adult left in the room
Finally free from the demands of being chief archivist of the United States, secretary of state, national security adviser and unofficial viceroy of Venezuela, Marco Rubio made his way to the Munich Security Conference last weekend to deliver a major address.
I shouldn’t make fun. Rubio, unlike so many major figures in this administration, is a bona fide serious person. Indeed, that’s why President Trump keeps piling responsibilities on him. Rubio knows what he’s talking about and cares about policy. He is hardly a free agent; Trump is still president after all. But in an administration full of people willing to act like social media trolls, Rubio stands out for being serious. And I welcome that.
But just because Rubio made a serious argument, that doesn’t mean it was wholly persuasive. Part of his goal was to repair some of the damage done by his boss, who not long ago threatened to blow up the North Atlantic alliance by snatching Greenland away from Denmark. Rubio’s conciliatory language was welcome, but it hardly set things right.
Whether it was his intent or not, Rubio had more success in offering a contrast with Vice President JD Vance, who used the Munich conference last year as a platform to insult allies and provide fan service to his followers on X. Rubio’s speech was the one Vance should have given, if the goal was to offer a serious argument about Trump’s “vision” for the Western alliance. I put “vision” in scare quotes because it’s unclear to me that Trump actually has one, but the broader MAGA crowd is desperate to construct a coherent theory of their case.
So what’s that case? That Western Civilization is a real thing, America is not only part of it but also its leader, and it will do the hard things required to fix it.
In Rubio’s story, America and Europe embraced policies in the 1990s that amounted to the “managed decline” of the West. European governments were free riders on America’s military might and allowed their defense capabilities to atrophy as they funded bloated welfare states and inefficient regulatory regimes. Free trade, mass migration and an infatuation with “the rules-based global order” eroded national sovereignty, undermined the “cohesion of our societies” and fueled the “de-industrialization” of our economies. The remedy for these things? Reversing course on those policies and embracing the hard reality that strength and power drive events on the global stage.
“The fundamental question we must answer at the outset is what exactly are we defending,” Rubio said, “because armies do not fight for abstractions. Armies fight for a people; armies fight for a nation. Armies fight for a way of life.”
I agree with some of this — to a point. And, honestly, given how refreshing it is to hear a grown-up argument from this administration, it feels churlish to quibble.
But, for starters, the simple fact is that Western Civilization is an abstraction, and so are nations and peoples. And that’s fine. Abstractions — like love, patriotism, moral principles, justice — are really important. Our “way of life” is largely defined and understood through abstractions: freedom, the American dream, democracy, etc. What is the “Great” in Make America Great Again, if not an abstraction?
This is important because the administration’s defenders ridicule or dismiss any principled objection critics raise as fastidious gitchy-goo eggheadery. Trump tramples the rule of law, pardons cronies, tries to steal an election and violates free market principles willy-nilly. And if you complain, it’s because you’re a goody-goody fool.
As White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller said not long ago, “we live in a world … that is governed by strength, that is governed by force, that is governed by power. These are the iron laws of the world that have existed since the beginning of time.” Rubio said it better, but it’s the same idea.
There are other problems with Rubio’s story. At the start of the 1990s, the EU’s economy was 9% bigger than ours. In 2025 we were nearly twice as rich as Europe. If Europe was “ripping us off,” they have a funny way of showing it. America hasn’t “deindustrialized.” The manufacturing sector has grown during all of this decline, though not as much as the service sector, where we are a behemoth. We have shed manufacturing jobs, but that has more to do with automation than immigration. Moreover, the trends Rubio describes are not unique to America. Manufacturing tends to shrink as countries get richer.
That’s an important point because Rubio, like his boss, blames all of our economic problems on bad politicians and pretends that good politicians can fix them through sheer force of will.
I think Rubio is wrong, but I salute him for making his case seriously.
Jonah Goldberg is editor-in-chief of The Dispatch and the host of The Remnant podcast. His Twitter handle is @JonahDispatch.