The partisan fight to draw maps that determine how Americans are represented has entered a dangerous spiral. Texas is racing ahead with a mid-decade congressional redraw designed to lock in additional seats after President Donald J. Trump called upon state lawmakers to find five seats. California’s leaders responded in kind to offset the Texas map, but will hold a special election in which voters must decide whether to put aside the state’s Congressional maps drawn by an independent redistricting commission for the next three election cycles. Other states are openly weighing similar moves. But this “map wars” logic is dangerous, and voters from all backgrounds stand to lose as districts harden into safe seats and politicians’ accountability to voters further withers.
Large majorities of Americans say that gerrymandering — which lets politicians pick their voters instead of the other way around — is unfair and a problem. When politicians and party insiders draw their own districts, the maps can be engineered to protect incumbents, not voters. As a result, gerrymandering contributes to the erosion of public confidence in elections. It lessens people’s sense that change can happen, and reduces the ability of voters to hold leaders accountable.
At a moment when the public expresses wide dissatisfaction with how democracy is working, voters’ practical ability to sanction or replace unresponsive leaders is critical. Gerrymandering entrenches incumbents by design, converting general elections into “safe” seats and shifting accountability to narrow primaries. When districts are engineered to be noncompetitive in November, the decisive contest moves to low-turnout primaries, where smaller, less representative electorates set the outcome. As a result, elected leaders face weaker incentives to answer to the broader electorate in their district.
Furthermore, scholars have linked electoral competition to specific behaviors, such as attentiveness and service. With fewer close races, representatives have less incentive to adjust to district preferences or provide constituent services—consistent with findings that gerrymandering produces less-responsive representation, even when national seat totals barely change. Safe districts lower the probability that voters can oust an elected leader who is not responsive to their needs or doesn’t perform well.
National evidence shows the share of competitive districts shrinks under partisan map-drawing, with candidates increasingly catering to primary electorates rather than general-election voters. Conversely, evidence suggests that when states remove partisan control from redistricting, for example, by using independent commissions, close contests become more common and incumbent party wins fall. Some critics of commissions claim they are a mirage, pointing to weak models that have left politicians in charge. That’s precisely the point: design matters. Commissions that remove partisan vetoes, work in the open, and follow voter-protective criteria produce fairer, more competitive maps than legislative self-dealing.
In addition, gerrymandering fractures communities, especially communities of color, thereby reducing their ability to hold representatives accountable or reward them. Cracking and packing dilute a community’s ability to elect a candidate of choice, undermining the threat of replacement that underpins accountability. (This is why Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act focuses on vote dilution, and recent enforcement has measurably increased participation where remedial districts were drawn.)
The current gerrymandering wars illustrate the consequences of this issue. In Texas, voting-rights groups have sued, arguing the new map will prevent Black voters from electing candidates of their choice. In California, the very idea of suspending an independent commission to pursue a partisan counter-map has drawn fire across the civic spectrum. Treating redistricting as retaliation doesn’t correct the problem; it normalizes it. Courts can police some abuses (for example, racial vote dilution), but the Supreme Court has said federal courts won’t referee claims of pure partisan gerrymandering. That leaves a large gray zone and a perpetual arms race where the rules depend on who holds power unless states adopt durable guardrails themselves.
Democracy is a promise that power originates from the people and can be reclaimed by them. Accountability is how that promise is kept. Without it, elections are merely a formality, and representation is simply a label, not a reality. Accountability requires contestability: when a realistic chance of being replaced exists, elected leaders have reason to listen and adapt. Gerrymandering’s purpose is to reduce contestability by insulating seats from swings in voter opinion, shifting power to narrow primaries, and diluting cohesive communities, thereby predictably weakening electoral accountability.
The choice is not between one party’s gerrymander and the other’s; it’s between a permanent power struggle and a system built for and accountable to voters. Indeed, a Utah court just reminded the country who holds the pen in a democracy when it struck down its 2021 congressional map and ordered new lines consistent with voter-approved reforms, affirming that the people are the locus of political power and have a constitutional right to reform their government. The longer we fight fire with fire, the more scorched our democracy becomes. The better path forward is fair maps, drawn in public, by institutions answerable to the people, and an upgrade in how we elect leaders so that leaders are responsive and accountable to the broader electorates they serve.
Carah Ong Whaley is executive director of Better Choices for Democracy, a national nonpartisan reform organization working on election system reform.




















image of U.S. President Donald Trump is displayed on a digital billboard in Times Square in New York on April 8, 2026.
Trump is stuck between two realities. Neither serves the American people
Normally, I worry that events may overtake a column. But not so with the Iran war.
I don’t worry about running afoul of a headline or Truth Social post from the president because what is said about the situation is no longer very relevant to the reality.
On April 8, Nick Catoggio, my Dispatch colleague, dubbed an earlier stoppage with Iran “Schrödinger’s ceasefire.” This was a reference to the famous thought experiment by the physicist Erwin Schrödinger, who was trying to explain the weirdness of “superpositionality” in quantum physics. A cat in a box is both dead and alive at the same time until you open the box. Schrödinger meant to illustrate the absurdity of the idea that particles aren’t any one thing, but a “cloud of probabilities.”
The Trump administration is stuck in a word cloud of probabilities of his own making. The war is over. The war is on. The war isn’t a war. We have a deal, but we don’t have a deal, but we’re about to have a deal. We destroyed Iran’s military. No, we left it intact. We want regime change. No we don’t. We already accomplished it. We “obliterated” Iran’s nuclear program a year ago. We had to go to war in February to prevent nuclear war. The Strait of Hormuz is open, closed, or something in-between. No deal without “unconditional surrender.” Let’s make a deal!
This everything-all-at-once vibe can be disorienting, particularly since most Americans didn’t have a war with Iran on their bingo cards until the shooting had already started. President Trump didn’t prepare the country or consult with Congress beforehand because he thought it would all be a smashing success in a matter of weeks.
The miscalculation that started it all: killing Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and much of Iran’s senior leadership, on the first day of the war. To “the great proud people of Iran, I say tonight that the hour of your freedom is at hand,” Trump announced on Feb. 28. “When we are finished, take over your government. It will be yours to take. This will be probably your only chance for generations.”
I support regime change in Iran and shed no tears for Khamenei or his goons. But when you start a war by killing the regime’s top leaders, it’s not unreasonable for the remaining ones to conclude that you really intend regime change.
Khamenei was a murderous fanatic, but he was a fairly cautious one. He liked to threaten closing the Strait of Hormuz or attacking our regional allies, but he was reluctant to actually do it, fearing it would invite a regime change war. The mullahs and IRGC goons believed, not unreasonably, that if they lost their grip on power, they’d be lynched by the Iranian people they’ve brutalized for decades.
By starting with a regime change war, Trump removed any reason for the regime not to go for broke. When you have nothing to lose — particularly when you are a millenarian religious fanatic — a Persian Alamo strategy makes a lot of sense.
So Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and attacked its neighbors.
But it turns out this wasn’t the Alamo. In the contest of wills, Trump blinked. The Iranian regime’s tolerance for punishment proved — so far — to be greater than Trump’s and that of our gulf allies. Militarily we could finish the job, but that would require ground troops and much greater economic turmoil. In a conflict Trump launched unilaterally without the prior support of Congress, NATO or the American people, Trump doesn’t have the political capital for that.
But that’s only half the problem. Trump wants the war over, but he doesn’t want to pay — militarily, economically, politically — what that would cost. So he wants to make a deal that ends it. But there is no deal available that wouldn’t come at an equally undesirable cost. Any deal that looks like what President Obama struck with the Iranians would be too embarrassing to bear. But the Iranians are convinced that they can get just such a deal, and they’re willing to drag things out as long as it takes.
The result: Trump’s in a box of his own making. He thinks he can talk his way out by simply asserting a reality that doesn’t exist. When the financial markets get nervous, he announces a breakthrough that is, at best, a possibility. When the Iranians agree to a deal that looks similar to one Obama might negotiate, Trump goes back to his threats.
It can’t go on forever. But I’m sure it’ll last until long after this column is forgotten.
Jonah Goldberg is editor-in-chief of The Dispatch and the host of The Remnant podcast. His Twitter handle is @JonahDispatch.