In late 2025, Congress fumbled the Affordable Care Act, failing to move a modest stabilization bill through its own procedures and leaving insurers and families facing renewed uncertainty. As the Congressional Budget Office has warned in multiple analyses over the past decade, policy uncertainty increases premiums and reduces insurer participation (see, for example: https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61734). I examined this episode in an earlier Fulcrum article, “Governing by Breakdown: The Cost of Congressional Paralysis,” as a case study in congressional paralysis and leadership failure. The deeper problem, however, runs beyond any single deadline or decision and into the incentives and procedures that now structure congressional authority. Polarization has become so embedded in America’s governing institutions themselves that it shapes how power is exercised and why even routine governance now breaks down.
From Episode to System
The ACA episode wasn’t an anomaly but a symptom. Recent scholarship suggests it reflects a broader structural shift in how Congress operates. In a 2025 academic article available on the Social Science Research Network (SSRN), political scientist Dmitrii Lebedev reaches a stark conclusion about the current Congress, noting that the 118th Congress enacted fewer major laws than any in the modern era despite facing multiple time-sensitive policy deadlines (https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5346916). Drawing on legislative data, he finds that dysfunction is no longer best understood as partisan gridlock alone. Instead, Congress increasingly exhibits a breakdown of institutional capacity within the governing majority itself. Leadership avoidance, procedural delay, and the erosion of governing norms have become routine features of legislative life rather than temporary responses to crisis.
Polarization Inside the Machinery
Taken together, these developments reveal a troubling transformation in American politics. Polarization no longer operates only at the level of ideas or elections; it now reshapes how governing institutions function by organizing incentives, shaping how rules are used, deadlines are managed, and responsibility is avoided. The result is a Congress that can sustain conflict indefinitely but struggles to complete even time-sensitive, widely understood tasks of governance.
Why Non-Governance Now Makes Political Sense
None of this was accidental; it helps explain why paralysis persists rather than resolves itself. Years of partisan polarization have reshaped congressional incentives so that avoidance is often safer than action. In an outrage-driven media environment, governing carries real political risk, while doing nothing frequently carries fewer immediate costs.
Under these conditions, delay becomes a rational strategy rather than a sign of failure. Allowing deadlines to approach or blocking action through procedural maneuvering lets lawmakers signal partisan loyalty without owning the consequences. The resulting harms—higher premiums, delayed projects, policy instability—are diffuse and delayed, while the political rewards of obstruction are immediate. Over time, this logic reshapes institutional behavior: leadership shifts from assembling majorities to managing avoidance, committees lose authority, and what appears as chaos from the outside hardens into a stable equilibrium in which non-governance is the safest political choice.
The Executive Backfill Problem
As Congress’s capacity to act erodes, power does not disappear; it shifts decisively toward the executive branch. Legislative paralysis invites presidents to backfill governing functions through executive orders, waivers, reinterpretations, and expansive emergency authorities. These conditions are ideal for an opportunist like Donald Trump, who treats congressional weakness as an opportunity rather than a constraint. Today’s Republican Congress often functions less as a check on executive ambition than as an enabling environment for it.
Over time, this pattern weakens Congress further, initiating a self-reinforcing feedback loop. When major policy choices are deferred to the executive branch, lawmakers lose both expertise and leverage. Oversight becomes reactive rather than anticipatory, and statutory clarity gives way to improvisation. Agencies are asked to solve political problems they were never designed to resolve, while courts are pulled into disputes that originate in legislative avoidance rather than constitutional conflict.
The result is a feedback loop: congressional dysfunction accelerates executive action, which in turn normalizes governing without Congress. Each cycle makes it harder to restore regular order, reinforcing a system in which polarization does not merely divide institutions but actively reorganizes where and how governing authority resides.
Institutions Caught in the Middle
Think of these institutions as hospital emergency rooms overwhelmed by patients because the public health system has stopped functioning. Federal agencies were built to carry out laws, not to improvise care in the absence of legislative direction. Yet as Congress retreats, agencies are forced into triage—stretching statutory language to keep programs alive and prevent collapse. Career experts are pulled into partisan crossfire, weakening professional norms and leaving institutions exhausted and overextended.
Courts face a similar problem. Judges are increasingly asked to decide disputes over immigration enforcement, public‑health measures, student debt relief, and regulatory authority—not because the law is unclear, but because Congress failed to legislate. In effect, judges are pushed into triage, making decisions that should never have reached the courts. Over time, this drags courts beyond their role of restraint, threatens their legitimacy, and deepens perceptions of politicization. The result is predictable: public trust erodes, and the lines between making the law, enforcing it, and interpreting it blur.
Restoring the Guardrails
Reversing this trajectory will not be easy, but it is possible. The first step is to reassert that the process itself is a democratic value. Budgets passed on time, votes held even when outcomes are uncomfortable, and committees empowered to do sustained work are not procedural niceties; they are the guardrails that keep power from pooling dangerously in any one branch.
Congress must reclaim its institutional role by restoring regular order by limiting leadership’s ability to block votes on must-pass legislation, strengthening committee authority, and reestablishing predictable budget timelines. These reforms are politically difficult precisely because they reduce opportunities for avoidance, but without them, paralysis will remain the path of least resistance.
Citizens also have a role to play. Voters and donors routinely reward performative conflict while tolerating institutional failure. Rebuilding guardrails requires changing those incentives by treating chronic non-governance, procedural sabotage, and deadline brinkmanship as disqualifying behavior rather than partisan virtue. Civic organizations, media outlets, and voters alike must place greater value on governing competence and institutional stewardship.
Finally, restoring balance means resisting the temptation to normalize executive improvisation as a substitute for legislation. As long as Congress continues to yield responsibility, opportunistic executives will continue to fill the vacuum. Emergency powers and administrative workarounds should be exceptional resorts of last resort, not standing tools of governance. Without renewed legislative responsibility, executive backfill will continue to expand, and the system’s remaining guardrails will erode further.
The choice facing American democracy is not simply between left and right, or even between parties. It is between a system that governs through durable institutions and one that drifts toward permanent improvisation, which is a sure-fire recipe for political chaos. Guardrails can be rebuilt, but only if Americans decide that a functioning democracy is worth the discomfort of governing again.
Robert Cropf is a Professor of Political Science at Saint Louis University.




















Children watch a July Fourth Parade along the Walkway of Heroes and Independence Avenue on July 04, 2026 in Tappan, New York.
The Great American Grumpfest
Our nation’s 250th birthday party didn’t feel especially patriotic and wasn’t as much fun as the 200th anniversary was.
President Trump, who did his best to co-opt our holiday for his personal aggrandizement, was a major reason. The party he threw in Washington, D.C., was crankier than uplifting, and less about celebrating our shared past and a promising future than about reminding us how far we have strayed from our founders’ plan to create a republic that future Americans would keep in good working order.
Credit Trump this much. He has a singular gift for picking at scabs that other politicians would rather ignore and pushing us into reckonings we don’t need.
The thing is, Americans have seen all this before. Sometimes the makeover we were encouraged to undertake was more conservative, sometimes more liberal. Whatever direction we were pushing, however, the reckoning we had in mind this time had to be more forthright and the conclusion more definitive than it was the last time.
Our current discontents, the ones behind the reckoning President Trump has been trying to inspire, are not trivial. Included among them are immigration, birthright citizenship, exploding healthcare costs, election rigging, a gag-inducing national debt, how we educate our children, too many genders, racial differences we can’t move past, a lopsided economy that favors more well-off Americans, and historic levels of political corruption and graft. Add to these the several foreign adventures he has pushed us into or is anxious to undertake, and you have the makings of a national headache the likes of which we haven’t had in half a century.
All the elbow-throwing and overheated rhetoric we’re using today have begun to look almost normal in all the ways that bickering neighbors and feuding family members appear normal. But they have also made us look mean-spirited and have portrayed our differences as irreconcilable. To ourselves, of course, but also to many people outside the United States who might be forgiven for turning their heads and not looking at the national car wreck we Americans show no interest in avoiding.
The good news, as I suggested above, is that Americans have had a great deal of practice dealing with challenges and national car wrecks like these.
This essay begins to lay out the reasons why.
By way of illustration, we have our seemingly insatiable demand for more bad news about race in America.
Sixty years after being released from the legal constrictions that bedeviled both white and black Americans, many white people have come to believe the color that used to make them unassailable is now a sign of a moral inferiority born of a racial animus they can never wash off. Many black people, on the other hand, are insisting that America is as hopelessly stacked against them as the formerly unassailable white people’s ancestors used to tell their black ones.
The result is that many people today are buying into racist nightmares and mumbo jumbo that their black and white ancestors worked hard and effectively to put in each other’s heads.
This might be dismissed as crazy behavior if it weren’t so important to rituals Americans have long used to express their deepest fears about each other while figuring out what move they can make that won’t end with their world crashing down on everybody’s head.
Unfortunately, the kind of cultural sleight of hand we have used to ramp up our racial differences has been appropriated by people who have many other cultural fears and unresolved differences with each other. Their clumsy but culturally prescribed missteps are making all these other issues look as irremediable as our racial problems.
A good place to start an answer to how we back away from ledges is Alexis de Tocqueville’s writing on early-19th-century American democracy. He had an optimistic take on Americans’ unscripted displays of public bravado, recrimination, and payback.
For him, these were occasions when people tried to mitigate the effects of the unfair hand they were dealing someone else or had themselves been dealt by behaving in ways quite at odds with how they would otherwise be expected to act. These inversions of what Tocqueville called “the natural order of conscience” presented themselves as a loud but culturally muted challenge to the hypocrisies that people had built into the world they’d made together.
One of his favorite illustrations of early-American hypocrisy involved slave masters sleeping with their less-than-worthy slaves. To the best of my knowledge, he didn’t pick up on all the ways that slaves messed with their owners. Their well-chronicled and quiet resistance showed that even severely ill-treated people can exercise more control over their lives than outsiders appreciate.
Be that as it may, such inversions of a people’s “natural order of conscience” make a good public show of them wrestling with demons they can’t or may not want to shake off, but in any case, are nowhere close to figuring out how to cast out.
Implicit in these disruptions was the discomforting idea that people might flip the entire script and turn the world on its head in more permanent ways. That kind of flipping worked out better for us in our revolution against England than in our Civil War. These events taught us the value of stepping back from historically unprecedented ledges.
Americans of late have been giving loud expression to a long list of things they don’t like about each other and the last makeover they started but didn’t finish a half-century ago. The outcome of our fights today will be as revealing as they are embarrassing to everyone who imagined they could recast our country in a way that privileged their favorite kind of Americans.
Their disappointment with the accommodations they strike will be palpable, but the middling results they achieve with all their pushing and shoving won’t be anything they can’t live with.
Anthropologists who have written about such moments in other cultures less “advanced” than our own show that people find ways to work around their seemingly irreconcilable differences without ever fully resolving them. Indeed, the patches and repairs people make have the unheralded effect of reinforcing rather than undermining the legitimacy of the practices and values they thought were fundamentally flawed.
For example…
White guilt and black pessimism do more good than putting cash into the pockets of professional shamers and handwringers. They give the rest of us who don’t feel guilty or powerless more time to make the world less racially unequal. Good news.
Regarding illegal immigration, the entrance requirements for future immigrants will remain stringent. Americans will applaud the continued detention and deportation of the few illegal immigrants who commit serious crimes. Good news.
All the people who came to the United States without being legally vetted and were locked up for a time will be released in numbers small enough to avoid serious media attention. Along with the several million other good people who snuck in but avoided capture, the former detainees will go to school, find gainful employment, pay their taxes, and stay out of trouble. Many will eventually become citizens. Good news.
Investigations into election tampering and Donald Trump’s 2020 presidential loss will come to an unceremonious conclusion the day after his second term ends. Many Americans will grumble about this, but there will also be some quiet partying, too. Good and bad news.
Congressional hearings into all the grifting accomplished by people tied to the Trump administration will end without anyone having to pay a dime back to the American taxpayers. Bad news, we’ll learn to live with.
New laws and regulations will be created in the hope that the kind of corruption practiced by President Trump will not be repeated for another 250 years. Good news, I hope we’ll live long enough to enjoy.
Show trials for people who allegedly vandalized the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, if they happen, will get big television viewer ratings. Good news.
Trials for pardoned Capitol insurrectionists who committed serious crimes after their release should get more attention, but won’t. Bad news.
We will continue to hear nothing from most of the people who were pardoned for crimes they committed in the insurrection at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. They will keep their mouths shut and their heads down for the rest of their life. Good news.
The gold-gilded ornaments that Donald Trump had plastered all over the White House will be shipped to Mar-a-Lago, where the former president will sell them on eBay. Fun news.
American taxpayers end up paying for most of the new East Wing, the removal of the miniature gladiatorial arena that was built behind the White House, and the restoration of the White House rose garden. Bad news.
The Triumphal Arch was never built. Good news.
Trad wives and gay couples raise perfectly lovely children. Good but unsurprising news.
Trans men and women learn that most Americans can’t figure out who they used to be. No one gives a second thought to their use of “family bathrooms” or “unisex bathrooms” in public settings, businesses, and schools. Communities will sponsor athletic teams that have trans boys and girls just to show they can. Good news.
Budget deficits will be kicked down the road for someone else’s children to pay down. Bad news.
Federal agencies that had their budgets and employee ranks slashed during President Trump’s second term are getting some of the money and lost positions back. Good news.
Elite universities will buy their way out of DEI purgatory by competing for conservative scholars whose inflated salaries dwarf those of their liberal colleagues, who will think about suing their institutions for reverse discrimination but won’t be able to figure out who would pay for it or care. More fun news.
Okay. I’ve probably missed some ways that Americans will step back from the ledges they have been making noises about leaping off. But to the extent that my predictions pan out, the best and most important moral of the stories about us stepping away is this: everything we lost and took back, or had returned to us, will have happened without our government collapsing, civic traditions crumbling, or our people beating each other up.
The reason why is that the differences Americans have with each other really weren’t as irreconcilable as we made them out to be. The empty-sounding bromide that Americans have more that unites us than divides us turns out to be true, not just metaphorically but in fact.
Now that is really something to celebrate.
Daniel J. Monti (danieljmonti.com) is Professor of Sociology at Saint Louis University and the author of American Democracy and Disconsent: Liberalism and Illiberalism in Ferguson, Charlottesville, Black Lives Matter, and the Capitol Insurrection.