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Podcast: How much are polls misrepresenting Americans?

Podcast: How much are polls misrepresenting Americans?

Declining response rates for polls mean we must rely on the shrinking minority of Americans that agree to be interviewed to represent the broader public.

"The Science of Politics" podcast guest Josh Clinton finds that Democrats were more likely to agree to be interviewed than Republicans or Independents in 2020. Common corrections could not compensate, as the partisans who do respond aren’t representative of those who don’t. Guest Amnon Cavari finds that the people who refuse to participate in polls are less educated and less interested in politics. This means our measures of polarization overestimate partisan differences by speaking only to the highly engaged.


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A sign that reads, "Voter Registration," hanging from the cieling, pointing to an office with the words, "Voter registration," above its doorway.

The voter registration office at the Nueces County Courthouse in Corpus Christi, Texas on Sept. 11, 2024. Voting rights groups are challenging the state's use of a federal database to check the citizenship status of people on the state's voter roll.

Gabriel Cárdenas for Votebeat

Voting Rights Groups Challenge Texas’ Removal of Potential Noncitizens From the Voter Roll

What happened?

Voting rights groups are suing the Texas Secretary of State’s Office and some county election officials to prevent the removal of voters from the state’s voter roll based on use of a federal database to verify citizenship. They also claim the state failed to crosscheck its own records for proof of citizenship it already possessed before seeking to remove voters.

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Iranian Immigrants React to Cease-Fire Agreement, Divide Deepens

Protester wraps himself in a pre-revolution flag at an anti-war rally on April 8. Modern

Iran flags fly in the background.

Jamie Gareh/Medill News Service

Iranian Immigrants React to Cease-Fire Agreement, Divide Deepens

WASHINGTON - At a recent “No Kings” rally outside the U.S. Capitol, a few demonstrators waved a large Iranian flag.

The U.S. and Israel had launched the war in Iran exactly one month earlier. As protestors chanted, a woman, carrying the old flag of Iran — from before the 1979 revolution — approached the bearers of the modern flag and yelled “traitor!” They then repeatedly hurled insults at each other, yelling “traitor” back and forth.

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A Tale of Two Pandemics: Public Health and Democracy from H1N1 to COVID-19 and Beyond

Kathleen Sebelius speaks to the press from The White House.

photo provided

A Tale of Two Pandemics: Public Health and Democracy from H1N1 to COVID-19 and Beyond

One of the greatest public health advancements for children in the United States and across the globe is the development of vaccines to save lives. When I was a child, my parents were grateful to have me and my brothers participate in early polio trials as the disease raged in neighborhoods. As a mother and grandmother, I have welcomed the advances that kept my children and now my grandchildren healthier. I knew my children were safer when they entered school because health policies were in place to protect everyone. As Secretary of HHS, I oversaw an effort to develop a vaccine and mobilize that vaccination effort against H1N1. This flu strain was lethal to children and young adults in 2009 and 2010 and was the first pandemic the US had experienced in 70 years. So I have personal and professional experience throughout my life with beneficial vaccines.

As the Secretary of HHS for five and a half years, I learned a lot dealing with public health officials and leading responses to outbreaks of unknown origin. I also learned the importance of using credible, consistent information that is based on reliable science to quell fears and prepare the public for group response. The people’s confidence in a trustworthy information environment is a foundation of our democracy and is also critical to our public health.

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