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​People arrive at a polling location on the first day of early voting in Texas

People arrive at a polling location on the first day of early voting in Texas for the midterm elections at the West Gray Metropolitan Multiservice Center in Houston, Texas, on Oct. 19, 2026.

(Ronaldo Schemidt/AFP via Getty Images/TCA)

Early voting records should scare GOP

It’s true every election year, but this cycle especially: It’s the economy, stupid.

Voters have told us in nearly every poll and interview that they are deeply concerned about affordability and the rising cost of goods, from gas to groceries.

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"I Voted" sticker
white and red heart sticker
Photo by Dan Dennis on Unsplash

New Tool Reveals Which Americans Hold Outsized Voting Power

Here’s the scenario: You and four friends are deciding where to eat. Two want pizza. Two want sushi. Everyone turns to you. You have one vote, like everyone else, but yours decides dinner. Your vote has more power.

This fall, something like that is true for about 2.75% of eligible American voters. Just 7.3 million people out of 266 million eligible adults will have more power to decide the outcome of this year’s midterm elections than the rest of us. The difference from the friend group scenario is that these people with decisive power often don’t realize it. In fact, they may doubt whether they should even bother to vote.

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Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico

Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico speaks at an American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations rally at The Texas Gulf Coast Labor Federation on October 21, 2026 in Houston, Texas. As a former union member, Talarico spoke of the fight between billionaires and workers.

(Photo by Danielle Villasana/Getty Images)

Are Independent Voters About to Flip Texas?

Texas is in the middle of one of its most contentious and heated elections in modern history. The question that lingers in the national press is, will the state flip to Democrats in the major statewide contests for US Senate and governor?

But the voters who will decide this question aren’t Republicans. They aren’t Democrats. As previously predicted on IVN, it will most likely be independent voters—if they turn out.

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voting booths

voting booths

Getty Images

Holding the Lines That Protect Every Voter and Every Election

We are people of many traditions. We do not agree on candidates. We don't need to.

We agree on something older than any election: that every person carries a dignity that no government grants and no government may take away, and that a free people governs itself by counting every lawful vote and honoring the count.

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